FERRELLGAS L P
Key Highlights
- #2 propane provider in the U.S. with revenue growth of 5%
- $125M legal settlement turned prior $110M profit into a $15.6M loss
- 90% of financial hedges will pay off within the next year
Financial Analysis
FERRELLGAS L P Annual Report Summary (Updated)
Let’s cut through the noise and see how FerrellGas really performed this year—no jargon, just the key details you need.
1. What They Do & This Year’s Snapshot
FerrellGas is the #2 propane provider in the U.S., serving homes, farms, and businesses across all 50 states. This year was a rollercoaster: revenue grew 5% thanks to higher propane prices and customer growth, but a $125M legal settlement turned last year’s $110M profit into a $15.6M loss. Ouch.
2. Financial Performance: Growth vs. Pain
- Revenue: Up 5% (good news).
- Profit: Swung from $110M profit to $15.6M loss (all due to that legal bill).
- Cash Flow (Adjusted EBITDA): Their favorite metric shows they’re still generating cash to keep the lights on, even with the loss.
3. Wins vs. Losses
What Worked:
- Stayed dominant as the #2 U.S. propane retailer with strong rural customer loyalty.
- Locked in propane prices for 2026/2027 sales using financial hedges (like pre-paying to avoid price spikes).
- 90% of their hedging deals will pay off within the next year.
What Hurt:
- $125M legal settlement (details unclear, but it’s a one-time hit).
- A warm winter meant fewer people needed propane for heating.
- $1.5B+ debt still looms over the company (like a massive credit card bill).
4. Financial Health Check
- Debt: Still sky-high at $1.5B+, but they’re generating enough cash to stay afloat.
- Hedging Success: Smart price locks minimized losses to just $0.1M this year.
- Verdict: Stable for now, but debt and surprise costs could derail progress.
5. Top Risks for Investors
- Weather Woes: 40% of annual sales depend on cold winters. Climate change = unpredictable demand.
- Propane Prices: Hedges help, but a sudden price drop could hurt profits.
- Electric Competition: More homes/businesses are switching to heat pumps and renewables.
6. How They Compare to Competitors
- Size: Only AmeriGas is bigger, but rivals like Suburban Propane carry less debt.
- Innovation: Lagging in renewable propane compared to some competitors.
7. Leadership’s Game Plan
- Doubling down on price hedging to manage propane cost risks.
- Testing renewable propane projects (still a tiny side hustle).
8. What’s Next?
- Betting on colder winters to boost sales (they’re glued to weather forecasts).
- Selling non-core assets to chip away at debt.
- Renewable energy efforts are a long-term “maybe,” not a sure thing.
9. Market Shifts to Watch
- Green Energy Push: Governments favor electric over propane, which could shrink demand.
- Tighter Regulations: New safety rules might raise costs for storage and transport.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The Good: Strong market position, smart hedging, and steady cash flow.
- The Bad: Massive debt, legal surprises, and reliance on fickle weather.
- The Ugly: Falling behind in renewable energy innovation.
Bottom Line: FerrellGas is a high-risk, slow-growth bet. The $125M legal loss this year highlights vulnerability to unexpected costs. While their hedging strategy and market share provide short-term stability, long-term success depends on debt reduction, colder winters, and catching up on renewables. If you’re comfortable with volatility and believe in propane’s staying power, maybe it’s worth a look. Otherwise, tread carefully.
Final Note: The annual report lacked depth in some areas (like specifics about the legal settlement), which could mean less transparency than investors might prefer.
Questions? Drop me a line! This is big stuff, and we’re here to help you sort it out. ☕
Risk Factors
- 40% of annual sales depend on cold winters (climate change risk)
- Propane price volatility despite hedging strategies
- Competition from electric alternatives (heat pumps, renewables)
Financial Metrics
Document Information
SEC Filing
View Original DocumentAnalysis Processed
October 16, 2025 at 08:52 AM
This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always consult with qualified professionals and conduct your own research before making investment decisions.